Iowa Caucus Results: OBAMA WINS

January 3, 2008 Uncategorized 22

UPDATE: Obama wins with 37%. Clinton and Edwards are in a virtual tie for second with 30% each. No one else breaks above 5%.

OK, here’s where you can come to see the latest results from the Iowa Caucus. If you have new numbers, please post them here. If you’re paying attention to this page, then please post here. If you have interesting tidbits from CNN or MSNBC, please post here.

This is your Open Forum. Here’s your chance to talk about the Presidential Election, and the first votes coming out of Iowa now. Whoever’s winning, you’ll know here.

Go ahead. Make my day. Fire away, have your say, and give us some results from Iowa! 🙂

22 Comments

  3. Hi Andrew. You’ve probably seen these reports that Kucinich and Richardson are throwing their second choice support to Obama? Obama’s camp denies it, but some of the precinct captains will throw second choice votes to Obama, apparently. -james

  4. james-

    Yep, I’m hearing that…

    And while you’re talking about it…

    45% reporting

    Obama 34%
    Edwards 33%
    Clinton 33%

  5. New results:

    SENATOR BARACK OBAMA : 34.00%
    SENATOR JOHN EDWARDS: 31.86%
    SENATOR HILLARY CLINTON : 31.47%
    GOVERNOR BILL RICHARDSON : 1.65%
    SENATOR JOE BIDEN : 0.93%
    SENATOR CHRIS DODD : 0.05%
    UNCOMMITTED : 0.04%
    PRECINCTS REPORTING: 835 OF 1781 (46.9 percent)

  6. New results-

    SENATOR BARACK OBAMA : 34.38%
    SENATOR JOHN EDWARDS: 31.61%
    SENATOR HILLARY CLINTON : 31.19%
    GOVERNOR BILL RICHARDSON : 1.73%
    SENATOR JOE BIDEN : 1.01%
    SENATOR CHRIS DODD : 0.04%
    UNCOMMITTED : 0.03%
    PRECINCTS REPORTING: 978 OF 1781 (54.6 percent)

  7. Hello again… I’m wondering how it is Richardson and Biden and Dodd have these tiny percentages when supposedly everyone under 15% gets cut. This is an old question for me about this. How does that happen?

  8. james-

    They probably did reach 15% viability in a few precincts. That explains their 2% and 1% results.

    And btw…

    CNN and CBS NEWS PROJECT OBAMA TO WIN IOWA

    Senator Barack Obama : 35.87%
    Senator John Edwards : 30.65%
    Senator Hillary Clinton : 30.44%
    Governor Bill Richardson : 1.92%
    Senator Joe Biden : 0.98%
    Uncommitted : 0.10%
    Senator Chris Dodd : 0.03%
    Precincts Reporting: 1369 of 1781

  9. James – the 15% threshold is on a per-precinct basis. So it’s entirely possible, in concept, that Richardson, Biden, Dodd, Gravel, Kucinich could in fact be the winner in a given precinct.

    Also, MSNBC has projected Obama to win.

  12. Trippi was on MSNBC and he still sees this at a big win for Edwards. He was out spent three to one! He came in second. It’s good for me, I’m still a happy woman.

  13. It’s a good day for Democrats and other thinking people. First reports I heard said move than 212,000 turned out to caucus. In 2004 it was around 120,000 (I forget exactly) and in 2000 it was 80,000. The governor of Iowa said this is the best party-building event in his lifetime. These numbers suggest that the 2004 Republican victory margin of 0.7% has been erased. Regardless of who ultimately wins (Edwards does walk away tonight with a very respectable, healthy outcome) the Democratic nomination, it portends well for November. Yippee!!

    P.S. I am glad my guy won.

  15. CNN estimated Delegate count to the National Convention is as follows:

    Obama 18
    Edwards 17
    Clinton 16

    Certainly not a landslide for Obama, but I think the big story here is that Hillary TANKED!

  17. That was kinda fun. A former community organizer and outspoken war critic going back to the fall of 2002 just bumped-off the careful DLC machine candidate who voted for bloodshed to burnish her hawkish presidential credibility. Pretty good night. Thanks Iowa.

  19. Hillary gets two less delegates than Obama and its tanking? Get real; its pretty much a three way tie. Democrats like their candidates better than Republicans like theirs. Iowa has 3 million people and 88 percent of the state is farmland. There are 5.5 hogs per person in the state. Let’s see what happens when the big states start voting.

  20. But Dan, you know as well as anybody that politics is a game of expectations.
    Hillary did not meet the expectation people held. If she doesn’t finish first (or a close second) in New Hampshire, look for her money and press coverage to dry up. That’s the danger of being the longtime front runner.
    Edwards and Obama both exceeded expectations. Their stock is rising. Look for both of them to raise major money on the internet in the next 10 days. Media will make this a two person race by South Carolina.
    Surprises of the evening were mostly on the Republican side –
    What happened to Guliani?
    Which 400 folks actually voted for crazy Duncan Hunter?
    How soon until he and Tancredo quit?
    Best moments in tonight’s coverage –
    Did anyone tell Pat Buchanan that tee-vee has color pictures, in high definition? If he knew why did he not bother to comb his hair or shave? I think the guy has finally lost it completely.
    Even the folks on FoxNews laughed at Bay Buchanan’s attempts to spin the results.
    As for Democrats-
    Good try, Senator Dodd. Thanks for knowing when it’s time to move on.
    Will Gravel, Biden, and Kucinich read the tea leaves or stay in through New Hampshire? South Carolina?
    I won’t be surprised to see an Obama/Edwards ticket in place shortly after Super-Duper Tuesday.
    Best news of the night –
    Reports I’ve seen estimate Democratic turnout in most precincts at 150 to 200% of 2004 numbers and Republican turnout at 110-125% of 2004.

  21. Lovable Curmudgeon-Great question about the Duncan Hunter votes. But I’m not sure about the expectation game analysis. Obama certainly does have some wind in his sails because of the margin but I’m not seeing Edwards exceeding expectations. Most of the polling showed it a very close 3 person race and while Obama exceeded expectations, Edwards and Clinton were as close as predicted. In fact, Edwards came in 3rd–behind Clinton-in delegates obtained according to today’s fish rag(Hey Chris—get back to us on the CNN-AP disagreement there). Clinton was never expected to win Iowa–there was a chance she COULD win but it was not expected. The Granite State is another matter. She needs a Comeback Kid Redux.

    And the numbers both percentage increase that you spot and the raw numbers–are indeed great signs for the Dems. The GOP had an active campaign so no excuses for the GOP.

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