A press release from the Joe Kerr for Congress campaign:
The following information has been compiled and provided by the Joe Kerr for Congress campaign to address the candidate’s viability in the 40th Congressional District.
● Our campaign swung CA-40 three points to the left and received 49,000 more votes than the previous D CA-40 candidate (Asif Mahmood). This was without outside financial
support and being outspent 10:1 by Rep. Young Kim.
● Our campaign built a lasting and replicable ground operation that knocked on over 250,000 doors and activated hundreds of volunteers.
● Our campaign raised over $2 million from over 14,600 donors across the country.
● In order to flip the House, we have to win districts like this. In order to win districts like this, we need to build off of our support and infrastructure from the previous cycle – not
start from scratch.
● During the 2024 primary, Joe Kerr defeated his Democratic opponent by 7.6% (or 58.7% to 41.3% of the Democratic vote). Joe’s primary opponent was endorsed by EMILY’s
List, BOLD PAC, 314 Action, Equality California, Latino Victory Fund, NOW PAC, PODER PAC, CTA, NEA, NUHW, and local Democratic clubs.
Outspent, And Immune To National Environment
In the country, there are 34 competitive districts, including California’s Democrat incumbent-held districts (CA-47 and CA-49). Of these 34 districts, only 12 districts swung to the left comparing 2022 versus 2024 election results. CA-40 produced the 5th largest swing to the left in the country, only behind CA-27, CA-45, IA-01, and PA-10.
This is despite being outspent 10:1. This performance is solely due to candidate quality.
Below is an approximate spending breakdown of the 12 districts that swung left, including IEs:
● CA-27: Whitesides (D) – $16.25m v. Garcia (R) – $10.8m ($5.5m D advantage)
● CA-45: Tran (D) – $11.2m v. Steel (R) – $14.8m ($3.6m R advantage)
● IA-01: Bohannan (D) – $9.6m v. Miller-Meeks (R) – $6.8m ($2.8m D advantage)
● PA-10: Stelson (D) – $9.6m v. Perry (R) – $6.7m ($2.9m D advantage)
● CA-40: Kerr (D) – $2.1m v. Kim (R) – $10m ($7.9m R advantage)
● CA-13: Gray (D) – $14.5m v. Duarte (R) – $7m (7.5m D advantage)
● CA-41: Rollins (D) – $15.8m v. Calvert (R) – $11.4m ($4.4m D advantage)
● MI-04: Swartz (D) – $1m v. Huizenga (R) – $3m ($2m R advantage)
● NE-02: Vargas (D) – $12.6m v. Bacon (R) – $10.8m ($1.8m D advantage)
● NY-01: Avlon (D) – $7.9m v. LaLota (R) – $3.6m ($4.3m D advantage)
● VA-01: Mehta (D) – $700k v. Wittman (R) – $1.9m ($1.2m R advantage)
● WI-03: Cooke (D) – $10.7m v. Van Orden (R) – $7.9m ($2.8m D advantage)
In these 12 districts, only 4 Democrats faced a financial disadvantage. CA-40 saw more than
double the next highest R financial advantage ($7.9m v. $3.6m).
Joe proved to be immune to the national environment that was very favorable to Republicans and the severe financial disadvantage he faced by not being RTB or a HMP target.
2022 v 2024 Swing Data Below
● CA-40: 13.6% > 10.6% (3% swing to left)
● CA-03: 7.2% > 11% (3.8% swing to right)
● CA-13: 0.4% > 0.0% (0.4% swing to left)
● CA-22: 3% > 6.8% (3.8% swing to right)
● CA-27: 6.4% > 2.6% (9% swing to left)
● CA-41: 4.6% > 3.4% (1.2% swing to left)
● CA-45: 4.8% > 0.2% (5% swing to left)
● CA-47: 3.4% > 2.8% (0.6% swing to right)
● CA-49: 5.2% > 4.4% (0.8% swing to right)
● AK-AL: 10% > 2.4% (12.4% swing to right)
● AZ-01: 0.8% > 3.8% (3% swing to right)
● AZ-02: 7.8% > 9% (1.2% swing to right)
● AZ-06: 1.5% > 2.5% (1% swing to right)
● CO-03: 0.2% > 5% (4.8% swing to right)
● CO-08: 0.7% > 0.8% (1.5% swing to right)
● FL-13: 8% > 9.6% (1.6% swing to right)
● IA-01: 6.8% > 0.2% (6.6% swing to left)
● IA-03: 0.7% > 3.9% (3.2% swing to right)
● MI-04: 11.9% > 11.7% (0.2% swing to left)
● MI-07: 5.4% > 3.7% (9.1% swing to right)
● MI-10: 0.5% > 6.1% (5.6% swing to right)
● MT-01: 3.1% > 7.7% (4.6% swing to right)
● NE-02: 2.6% > 1.8% (0.8% swing to left)
● NJ-07: 2.8% > 5.4% (2.6% swing to right)
● NY-01: 11% > 10.4% (0.6% swing to left)
● NY-17: 0.6% > 6.3% (5.7% swing to right)
● PA-07: 2% > 1.4% (3.4% swing to right)
● PA-08: 2.4% > 2% (4.4% swing to right)
● PA-10: 7.6% > 1.6% (6% swing to left)
● TX-15: 8.5% > 14.2% (5.7% swing to right)
● VA-01: 13% > 12.8% (0.2% swing to left)
● VA-02: 3.4% > 3.8% (0.4% swing to right)
● WI-01: 8.9% > 10.2% (1.3% swing to right)
● WI-03: 3.7% > 2.7% (1% swing to left)
This line stood out:
” CA-40: Kerr (D) – $2.1m v. Kim (R) – $10m ($7.9m R advantage)”
Makes me wonder if “I HATE FIREFIGHTERS AND PUBLIC EMPLOYEES BECAUSE I’M A LOSER WHO GOT FIRED” Fourth District Resident AKA David + Zenger knows how to actually add.
Then again, it’s not hard to figure out if Vern and Donna make $1878. per month each on public assistance, how they make the rent in the Anaheim barrio at 60 YEARS OLD. I’ll bet the Google Ad’s and the stolen lawn tools from the Cypress College swap Meet add a lil sumthin’
Merry Christmas to all!
Too bad Coto Joe just can’t sit back and enjoy that massive public pension of his instead of trying his hand at politics. He’s a two-bit union thug and carpetbagging hack and has no business whatsoever holding the purse strings of the public treasury. Go yank your hose some place else, Coto Joe.
That’s pretty unfair to Joe. He ran a good campaign and was massively outspent