Rollcall reports the latest poll out of CD-49, the same organization that Orange Juice blog touted last week, today shows Mike Levin has pulled ahead in the race for Congress in CD-49. The OJ story cited data dated from April; a lot can change in six weeks and has in Levin’s favor.
From the story:
A survey conducted by Tulchin Research showed 17 percent of respondents in the San Diego-area district backed Levin, a lawyer, while Harkey was in second with 15 percent, according to a Democratic group interested in the race. Harkey is a member of the state Board of Equalization, an elected body that oversees tax administration. The Republican incumbent Darrell Issa is not seeking re-election.
Doug Applegate, the 2016 Democratic nominee who narrowly lost to Issa, took 12 percent in the survey. Democrat Sara Jacobs and GOP state Assemblyman Rocky Chavez were both at 11 percent.
Trailing in single digits were Democratic businessman Paul Kerr at 7 percent and two Republicans, San Diego County Supervisor Kristin Gaspar at 7 percent and San Juan Capistrano City Council Member Brian Maryott at 6 percent.
Thirteen percent of respondents were undecided. Tulchin Research surveyed 500 likely primary voters between May 22 and 24, via live telephone interviews using both landline and mobile phones. The poll had a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.
The poll offered no clue to Levin’s surge and Applegate’s tumble. Voters are being reminded of Applegate’s nasty comments about Hillary Clinton after the November 2106 election. But if these numbers hold, Levin vs. Harvey in November will be a great race to watch.
Levin also announced he’s been endorsed by the Sierra Club.
