On the day he announced significant endorsements frommany of California’s elected Republicans for the 2010 US Senate race, State Re. Chuck DeVore gets no love from a commissioned survey on the upcoming 2010 Senate election.
A Research 2000 California poll of voters , commissioned by the popular DailyKos blog, seeking opinions about a Senate race between Senator Barbara Boxer and Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger showed Boxer with a 9 point lead. Chuck DeVore is mentioned in the comments — exactly once. And the commenter predicted DeVore would beat the Governor in a closed GOP primary only to have Boxer crush him in the general election. No surprise as Chuck is to the right of Atilla the Hun.
Here”s the survey:
CALIFORNIA POLL RESULTS – JANUARY 2009
                                Â
The Research 2000 California Poll was conducted from January 5 through January 7, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect the voter registration of distribution by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4% percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as for gender or party affiliation.
SAMPLE FIGURES:
Men          287 (48%)
Women         313 (52%)
Democrats       263 (44%)
Republicans      198 (33%)
Independents/Other  139 (23%)
White         390 (65%)
Black         54 (9%)
Hispanic       102 (17%)
Asian         35 (6%)
Other         19 (3%)
18-29 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 101 (20%)
30-44 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 181 (30%)
45-59 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 192 (33%)
60+ Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 126 (17%)
Northern        37 (6%)
Central        108 (18%)
LA County       144 (24%)
Bay          126 (21%)
Southern       185 (31%)
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Arnold Schwarzenegger? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):
         VERY FAV    FAV     UNFAV   VERY UNFAV   NO OPINION
ALL Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 10% Â Â Â Â 32% Â Â Â Â 37% Â Â Â Â 14% Â Â Â Â Â 7%
          FAV     UNFAV    NO OPINION
ALL Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 42% Â Â Â Â 51% Â Â Â Â Â 7%
MEN Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 45% Â Â Â Â 49% Â Â Â Â Â 6%
WOMEN Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 39% Â Â Â Â 53% Â Â Â Â Â 8%
DEMOCRATS Â Â Â Â Â 31% Â Â Â Â 64% Â Â Â Â Â 5%
REPUBLICANS Â Â Â Â 60% Â Â Â Â 31% Â Â Â Â Â 9%
INDEPENDENTS Â Â Â Â 38% Â Â Â Â 55% Â Â Â Â Â 7%
18-29 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 38% Â Â Â Â 55% Â Â Â Â Â 7%
30-44 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 41% Â Â Â Â 52% Â Â Â Â Â 7%
45-59 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 43% Â Â Â Â 50% Â Â Â Â Â 7%
60+ Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 46% Â Â Â Â 48% Â Â Â Â Â 6%
QUESTION: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barbara Boxer? (If favorable or unfavorable ask if it is very or not):
         VERY FAV    FAV     UNFAV   VERY UNFAV   NO OPINION
ALL Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 12% Â Â Â Â 36% Â Â Â Â 35% Â Â Â Â 11% Â Â Â Â Â 6%
          FAV     UNFAV    NO OPINION
ALL Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 48% Â Â Â Â 46% Â Â Â Â Â 6%
MEN Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 45% Â Â Â Â 50% Â Â Â Â Â 5%
WOMEN Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 51% Â Â Â Â 42% Â Â Â Â Â 7%
DEMOCRATS Â Â Â Â Â 66% Â Â Â Â 29% Â Â Â Â Â 5%
REPUBLICANS Â Â Â Â 27% Â Â Â Â 69% Â Â Â Â Â 4%
INDEPENDENTS Â Â Â Â 45% Â Â Â Â 45% Â Â Â Â 10%
18-29 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 51% Â Â Â Â 43% Â Â Â Â Â 6%
30-44 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 50% Â Â Â Â 45% Â Â Â Â Â 5%
45-59 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 47% Â Â Â Â 47% Â Â Â Â Â 6%
60+ Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 43% Â Â Â Â 49% Â Â Â Â Â 8%
QUESTION: If 2010 election for U.S. Senate were held today for whom would you vote for if the choices were between Barbara Boxer the Democrat and Arnold Schwarzeneggerthe Republican?
          BOXER  SCHWARZENEGGER  UNDECIDED Â
ALL Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 49% Â Â Â Â 40% Â Â Â Â 11%
MEN Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 42% Â Â Â Â 48% Â Â Â Â 10%
WOMEN Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 56% Â Â Â Â 32% Â Â Â Â 12%
DEMOCRATS Â Â Â Â Â 80% Â Â Â Â 11% Â Â Â Â Â 9%
REPUBLICANS Â Â Â Â 13% Â Â Â Â 77% Â Â Â Â 10%
INDEPENDENTS Â Â Â Â 43% Â Â Â Â 42% Â Â Â Â 15%
WHITE Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 40% Â Â Â Â 48% Â Â Â Â 12%
BLACK Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 83% Â Â Â Â Â 7% Â Â Â Â 10%
HISPANIC Â Â Â Â Â Â 63% Â Â Â Â 29% Â Â Â Â Â 8%
ASIAN Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 58% Â Â Â Â 35% Â Â Â Â Â 7%
OTHER Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 47% Â Â Â Â 43% Â Â Â Â 10%
18-29 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 52% Â Â Â Â 36% Â Â Â Â 12%
30-44 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 51% Â Â Â Â 39% Â Â Â Â 10%
45-59 Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 48% Â Â Â Â 41% Â Â Â Â 11%
60+ Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 46% Â Â Â Â 43% Â Â Â Â 11%
NORTHERN Â Â Â Â Â Â 50% Â Â Â Â 37% Â Â Â Â 13%
CENTRAL Â Â Â Â Â Â 42% Â Â Â Â 48% Â Â Â Â 10%
LA COUNTY Â Â Â Â Â 56% Â Â Â Â 33% Â Â Â Â 11%
BAY Â Â Â Â Â Â Â Â 62% Â Â Â Â 29% Â Â Â Â Â 9%
SOUTHERN Â Â Â Â Â Â 39% Â Â Â Â 48% Â Â Â Â 13%
Here’s Chuck’s list of endorsements:
Assembly (not including DeVore himself)
Mike Villines
Anthony Adams
Joel Anderson
Bill Berryhill
Tom Berryhill
Sam Blakeslee
Connie Conway
Paul Cook
Mike Duvall
Bill Emmerson
Jean Fuller
Ted Gaines
Martin Garrick
Danny Gilmore
Curt Hagman
Diane Harkey
Kevin Jeffries
Stephen Knight
Jeff Miller
Dan Logue
Brian Nestande
Jim Nielsen
Cameron Smyth
Audra Strickland
Van Tran
Senate (6)
Jeff Denham
Bob Dutton
Bob Huff
George Runner
Mimi Walters
Mark Wyland
Hi,
I have a simple question. Could Rep. DeVore possibly raise the amount of money that Boxer can to be competitive with her? I’ve heard that Sen. Boxer is a prodigious fundraiser.
P.S. I sooo love this blog, even though I live way up north in Merced County.
Steffen
The simple answer is, no.