New Internet Poll

An internet poll that was developed by a Standford political science supposedly uses a “unique sample selection methodology that combines a large Internet panel with voter and consumer databases to create representative voter samples.”

Here’s what they came out with today:

  • Governor: Schwarzenegger 50%, Angelides 40%
  • Lieutenant governor: John Garamendi 51%, Tom McClintock 45%
  • Attorney general: Jerry Brown 58%, Chuck Poochigian 37%
  • Controller: John Chiang 52%, Tony Strickland 40%
  • Secretary of state: Debra Bowen 50%, Bruce McPherson 43%
  • Treasurer: Bill Lockyer 55%, Claude Parrish 37%
  • Insurance commissioner: Steve Poizner 55%, Cruz Bustamante 36%
  • U.S. Senate: Dianne Feinstein 57%, Richard Mountjoy 39%

Initiatives

  • Prop. 85, parental notification: 42% yes, 51% no
  • Prop. 86, cigarette tax: 49% yes, 47% no
  • Prop. 87, oil tax: 49% yes, 44% no
  • Prop. 88, parcel tax: 31% yes, 60% no
  • Prop. 89, campaign finance: 35% yes, 52% no
  • Prop. 90, eminent domain: 58% yes, 28% no

The poll was done for The Hoover Institution, and it looks pretty good for Dems (if you ignore the Governor’s race).  The company said that “participating in the survey were 877 likely voters belonging to the PollingPoint Internet panel.  Panelists were selected to match a random sample drawn from the California voter list by age, gender, race, party registration and residence. The margin of error for the survey estimates is approximately plus or minus 3.5%.”

4 Comments

  1. Yeah, evrything looks good except for Phil, Cruz, Prop 89…

    AND MOST IMPORTANTLY, PROP 90!

    As we all know here, Prop 90 would screw up all our environmental laws, consumer safety laws, land use laws, and much more!

    In these last six days, we ned to let our family, friends, and neighbors know that Prop 90 HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH PROTECTING HOMEOWNERS FROM EMINENT DOMAIN, and EVERYTHING TO DO WITH LETTING HUGE DEVELOPERS OFF THE HOOK FROM THE LAW.

  2. It will be interesting to see how the new polling methodology compares with actual election results.
    At first glance, it looks similar to recent polling I’ve seen with traditional (phone) methodology. This could permanently change polling as we know it.
    Great find, Mike!
    Too bad it’s unfortunately linked to Leland Stanford JC and not a more prestigious institution.

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