Matt Cunningham at The OC Blog just posted a pretty good “By the Numbers†post regarding the 1st Supervisor District Special Election.
I think absentees will be the key once again. Any candidate who lacks the resources the target absentee voters will lose the election. Since absentee voting begins in 35 days, any candidate thinking about running better get it in gear and start raising money pronto — and candidates starting with a small or non-existent campaign bank account will find raising the necessary funds during the holidays following an exhausting general election to be a tall mountain to climb.
Matt also included the number of registered voters in each of the cities that lie in the 1st district. Read his entire post here.