Just got this in my email. Down to a 147 vote difference, with 32,047 left to count county-wide (according to ocvote.com, anyway). No idea on how many of those are relevant to this race. According to Martin Wisckol, OC Registrar of Voters Neal Kelley says that there are a few hundred absentees & around 6,000 provisionals left to count that are relevant to this race.
Go Lou, go! Go Lou, go! Ahh, the gap is closing… But will these provisionals be enough to put Lou over the top? My goodness, I hope so! ; )
There’s another Mike that blogs on here?
Hahaha…just kidding. Good update Mikey.
Just did some quick calculations:
2,488 absentees outstanding X 14% average in SD 34 with 52/48 split in Correas favor nets 14 vote pickup. Daucher’s lead drops to 133.
21,915 provisionals with 22% in the 34th nets 4,821 in the District (lower than Registrar’s estimate, but higher than the 14% of absentees). 75% validity rate (dare i say “conservative”) and a 52/48 split in Correa’s favor nets 145 vote pickup.
In this scenario Correa wins by 12 votes.
Do what you can to make sure Provisionals are all counted! We need observers Thursday and Friday starting at 8 am. Call Cesar at 510 919 5443 to schedule a few hours to observe!
A GREAT SIGN – Daucher’s campaign manager is already making excuses for her impending loss over on The Buzz, blaming it on Otto Bade:
http://blogs.ocregister.com/buzz/2006/11/quote_of_the_day_133.html#comments